How Codeway Grew Incremental Subscriptions 32% with Churney pLTV on Meta

Increasing long-term subscriber value by optimising ad campaigns on Facebook and Instagram

+32%

Incremental app subscriptions

19%

Decrease in cost per incremental customer

+20%

Higher predicted LTV of newly acquired customers

The Story

Codeway was founded in Istanbul, Turkey, in 2020 with the goal of turning strong ideas into popular mobile applications. Today, Codeway is among the top subscription app publishers worldwide with multiple vertical-leading apps.

The Goal

Increasing subscription sales

Codeway wanted to increase the number of paid subscriptions to its software solutions, and to boost long-term return on ad spend.

The breakthrough

Predicting User-Level Lifetime Value

Codeway wanted to attract new subscribers who were likely to become long-term customers for its mobile software-as-service offering. To predict the long-term value of new customers, Codeway worked with Churney, a solutions provider that specialises in detailed predicted lifetime value models.

Using Churney’s model, Codeway created a custom ad optimisation event to indicate the acquisition of a highly profitable customer based on a predicted lifetime value model. In this way, it could increase the number of highly valuable users from its Facebook and Instagram ads. This new strategy was tested against Codeway’s previous customer acquisition campaigns (which used standard ad optimisation) using a conversion lift test. The two campaigns both used video ads, which reached out to broad audiences in the US.

The results

Custom-made customers

Codeway’s custom event optimization campaign help it attract customers for the long term.

Between August 22–September 14, 2022, the campaign achieved:

  • 32% more incremental subscriptions, compared to usual strategy
  • 19% decrease in cost per incremental high-value customer acquisition, compared to usual strategy
  • 20% higher predicted lifetime value of newly acquired customers, compared to usual strategy
By optimising our campaign for the predicted lifetime value event, we were able to attract higher-value users, provide better signals to Meta’s algorithm, and increase our return on ad spend. We will pursue this strategy for future campaigns.
Cantuğ Sugün
Marketing Team Lead
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FAQ

Questions mobile app teams ask before a Meta pLTV lift test.

Additive answers on fit, differentiation, validation, and what to read next. Not a repeat of the case study body.

How long should we run a Meta conversion lift test before trusting the read?

Codeway's published window was three weeks. Your duration should cover enough incremental conversions on both arms; we suggest you size it with us from your daily sub volume, not a fixed calendar copy-paste.

Can we reuse broad video creative and US targeting like Codeway, or must we re-test creative in our pilot?

Keep creative and targeting fixed when the goal is to compare optimization signals. Change only the value event or optimization goal between test and control unless you explicitly want a creative learning confound.

We buy on Google and Meta. Does Codeway's Meta lift test transfer to Google, or do we need a separate pilot?

Proof is platform-specific. Use Codeway for Meta subscription UA methodology; run a separate Google test if that is a primary spend line (see Perlego or Pixocial for Google subscription proof).

We already have an in-house LTV model for marketing. How is Churney different?

In-house models often inform reporting or manual bid rules. Churney operationalizes user-level predictions as the ad platform optimization event and supports structured lift testing against BAU.

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